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Risk and decision analysis in projects / John R. Schuyler.

By: Schuyler, John R.
Material type: TextTextPublisher: Aurora, CO, USA : Planning press, c2018Edition: 3.1 edición.Description: xxiv, 492 p. ; 28 cm.ISBN: 978-1719014236.Subject(s): Toma de decisiones | Administración de riesgosLOC classification: HD 30.23 | .S38
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Libros Libros UMSA Plantel Reforma
Acervo general HD 30.23 .S38 (Browse shelf) 2 Available 000020042

En la portada: A guide to decision analysis tools, techniques, and best practices for feadibility analysis, estimation, and project risk management.

Contenido:
@RISK with Microsoft Project
Artificial Intelligence in PM
Competitive Bidding and Winner's Curse
Bayes' Rule and Equivalents Critical Chain with Monte Carlo Simulation
Decision Analysis Process
Decision Policy, Three Pillars
Decision Tree Analysis
Expected Value
Judgments, Biases, and Correlation
Monte Carlo Simulation
Portfolios, Optimizer's Curse, Tail Estimate Bias Probability Distribution Types Probability Rules Project Controls
Project Models
Project Portfolios and Optimization
Project Risk Management
Project Risks Catalog
Risk Matrix (improvements)
Risk Policy as a Utility Function
Risk Register and Uncertainty Register
Sensitivity Analysis
Value of Control, Flexibility, and Robustness Value of Information and Bayes' Rule Variance Analysis, Stochastic Variance

Indice: p. 463-491

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