TY - BOOK AU - Schuyler,John R. TI - Risk and decision analysis in projects SN - 978-1719014236 AV - HD 30.23 .S38 PY - 2018/// CY - Aurora, CO, USA PB - Planning press, KW - Toma de decisiones KW - Administración de riesgos N1 - En la portada: A guide to decision analysis tools, techniques, and best practices for feadibility analysis, estimation, and project risk management.; Contenido: @RISK with Microsoft Project Artificial Intelligence in PM Competitive Bidding and Winner's Curse Bayes' Rule and Equivalents Critical Chain with Monte Carlo Simulation Decision Analysis Process Decision Policy, Three Pillars Decision Tree Analysis Expected Value Judgments, Biases, and Correlation Monte Carlo Simulation Portfolios, Optimizer's Curse, Tail Estimate Bias Probability Distribution Types Probability Rules Project Controls Project Models Project Portfolios and Optimization Project Risk Management Project Risks Catalog Risk Matrix (improvements) Risk Policy as a Utility Function Risk Register and Uncertainty Register Sensitivity Analysis Value of Control, Flexibility, and Robustness Value of Information and Bayes' Rule Variance Analysis, Stochastic Variance ; Indice: p. 463-491 ER -